US Primaries

I've been absorbing the Iowa results. Really fascinating. We get Fox News, CBS, CNN, BBC, CNBC as well as local terrestrial news channels and the online versions of every newspaper on earth so we're pretty well informed.

Huckabee is dangerously likeable. He sounds so reasonable and sensible, it's hard to remember that he is on the lunatic fringe of religion.

Romney - I wish he wasn't being judged on his Mormonism. His religion may or may be invented, but every Mormon I've met has impressed me with their honesty, decency, dedication to family values and hard work. Their community support for one another seems admirable. Romney himself, however, looks like an adult version of Barbie's Ken. He's just too good-looking and well-groomed. Dilbert maintains that tall people with great hair have an unfair advantage in reaching top corporate positions, which Mitt (what a stupid name) has done. But should these be desirable characteristics for a President? Why doesn't someone run an historical survey of Presidential looks mapped against performance? Abraham Lincoln did pretty well, and he was ugly, man, ugly.

On the other side - can Obama really get to the White House? He has fantastic charisma and vision, and he makes the other contenders look old, tired, nasty, self-centred, power-mad. Note how all the others focus their speeches on "I", wheras Obama talks about "we" and "you". Hilary is already widely disliked and she's coming across now even more as cold, calculating, bitchy. I believe whatever attacks she mounts on Obama from here on in will rebound on her.

Question is - if Obama was President, how well could he deal with the Pakistans, Chinas, Irans of this world? Would Hilary's calculating approach be more effective? Possibly it would, but I don't think we'll get the chance to find out. Obama's building a new constituency of young and undecided voters who are electrified by his Kennedy-esque, inclusive, visionary message. He will get out a whole block of voters who have never voted before and wouldn't bother this time if the choice was Hilary v Giuliani.

The others keep talking about experience - why don't they realize that "Washington experience" to the average middle American means policy failure, corruption, collusion with big business, and a "don't know, don't care" attitude to everywhere outside the beltway (except for their favorite pork projects of course).

So, my prediction as of today is Obama wins the White House. And offers Hilary the position of Secretary of State. Now that would work - think about it - good cop, bad cop! Velvet oratory and an iron fist of realpolitik.
Trouble is, she'd never accept the job.